Computing…

Track Record — does this beat the market?

Every mover flagged in a past digest, looked up against historical prices. Two questions get answered here: raw return (did it go up?) and alpha (did it beat SPY over the same window?). Alpha is the honest number. A "hit" is +2% raw return; a "win" is positive alpha. No survivorship bias — losing calls count too.

By horizon

How the average call performed at each horizon. p10/p90 show the distribution — wide gaps mean high-variance outcomes.

By tag

Which tag actually predicts excess return over SPY? Tags shown only if applied to at least 3 scored calls. Sorted by 20-day alpha.

Best calls

Ranked by 20-day alpha (excess vs SPY), then 5-day alpha as fallback.

Worst calls

The other side of the ledger. Showing the work matters.

By source

Which upstream source produced the best alpha? Useful for weighting future signal.

All performance figures are hypothetical — derived from historical prices, not real trading. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice. Not a solicitation. Full disclaimers →